February rain lifts Restocker Lamb Indicator

06 Mar 2026

Key points

The Restocker Lamb Indicator reached a new record of 1,173¢/kg cwt.
Improved February rainfall in parts of the south has shifted producer sentiment and tightened restocker supply.
Backgrounder demand has strengthened, led by Victorian and SA buyers.

The Restocker Lamb Indicator reached a new record this week, climbing to 1,173¢/kg carcase weight (cwt) on Wednesday – 10¢/kg cwt above the previous record set in mid-November 2025. This reflects a clear improvement in sentiment across southern production regions.

The change comes after a prolonged run of below-average rainfall. Many southern producers have been managing dry conditions for the past two years. While a spring break helped lift pasture availability, it didn’t hold. December and January returned to below-average rainfall, leaving many areas with tightening feed and patchy pasture growth.

Rainfall in December and January

Dec-Jan rainfall

Source: BOM

In southern NSW, producers responded early in 2026 with higher-than-usual yardings as they managed feed availability following reduced and uneven rainfall since October 2025. With more lambs moving through yards and restocker competition softer than during the November peak, the indicator eased back through summer.

Rainfall in February

February rainfall

Source: BOM

February has since shifted the market mood. Many of the previously affected areas received up to 200mm of rain, improving short-term feed prospects and changing selling decisions. With confidence lifting, the restocker market tightened quickly and demand strengthened. The indicator rose from 1,070¢/kg cwt at the beginning of February to the new record 1,173¢/kg cwt this week, demonstrating how quickly restocker demand can respond when the seasonal outlook improves.

Market reporting continues to note a good supply of finished lambs over 24kg, supported by the continued adoption of feedlots and confinement feeding. These systems are helping maintain a flow of well-finished lambs even when paddock feed is variable. However, while finished supply has held up, restocker offerings have tightened. Restocker yardings eased by 14,804 head week-on-week, reducing the number of suitable lines available to buyers and intensifying competition.

Buyer activity has also been a feature. Demand from backgrounders has increased, with Victorian and SA buyers more active in the market. Combined with improved seasonal conditions in parts of the south, that additional buying pressure has contributed to the new price record and reinforced the market’s sensitivity to both rainfall signals and short-term supply changes.

Attribute content to: Emiliano Diaz, MLA Senior Market Information Analyst  

Information is correct at time of publication on 6 March 2026.

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